Stocks next week: How bitcoin is like a teenager

What’s happening: Bitcoin’s dizzying rise has reached new heights. The price of a bitcoin exceeded $ 20,000 for the first time in December. Last week, he violated $ 50,000.

The euphoria in the markets certainly plays a role, as investors pursue returns in an alternative investment at low interest rates. But a number of recent announcements have also made it clear that cryptocurrencies are entering a new phase of maturity as market participants treat them with increasing respect.

“I think the kinds of institutions that are starting to get into it now are talking a lot about acceptance,” Greg King, CEO of Osprey Funds, told me. Last week, his company launched the Osprey Bitcoin Trust, which aims to increase exposure for everyday investors.

He sent an important signal when adze (TSLA), an S&P 500 company, said it added $ 1.5 billion to its balance sheet earlier this month, King said. Not long after, BNY Mellon – the oldest bank in the US – launched a digital asset unit to issue, hold and transfer bitcoin, while MasterCard (ME) said it would support “cryptocurrency selection” directly on its network later this year.
Even Black stone (BLK), the world’s largest asset manager, dips his fingers into the water.

“People are looking for value deposits,” said Rick Rieder, BlackRock’s chief investment officer of global fixed income, in a recent interview with CNBC. “We started to dig a little deeper into it.”

Bitcoin is by far the best option for professional investors targeting cryptocurrencies. But ether, the second largest cryptocurrency by market value, is also gaining general appeal.

The Chicago Mercantile Exchange, a leading derivatives market, launched ether futures in early February. Prices have risen since then.

King stressed that more work is needed as cryptocurrencies age.

“All these institutional instruments that make up the capital market ecosystem … which are still in very early stages for the cryptographic space,” he said.

On the radar: Most traditional market players continue to check bitcoin, assessing the liquidity of crypto markets and how they would respond to various shocks.

Deep skepticism remains. In a research report released last week, JPMorgan strategists called bitcoin a “secondary economic spectacle,” noting that cryptocurrencies “remain several times more volatile than underlying asset markets” and are still used almost exclusively for speculation rather than costs.

But it is difficult to challenge the direction of travel, given the events of last month.

“Growing digital finance and demand for fintech is the true financial transformation story of the Covid-19 era, not the rally of bitcoin prices,” JPMorgan said. “But recent announcements of greater acceptance and adoption by Tesla, BNY Mellon and Mastercard confirm increased investor demand and interest in trading payments in cryptocurrencies.”

Biden’s stimulus bill goes ahead

Bipartisan support can be hard to find. But after weeks of debate, President Joe Biden’s massive $ 1.9 trillion bill will go through Congress.

Most recently: the Committee on the Budget of the Chamber is taking steps to finalize the legislation so that it can proceed to a general vote. House Speaker Nancy Pelosi said she would like that to happen this week.

The full rescue package, which would then be sent to the Senate, is expected to include a new round of $ 1,400 incentive checks, an extension of the children’s tax credit and a $ 15-hour minimum wage increase.

Blocking point: Democrats intend to pass legislation through a process known as reconciliation, which will allow approval in the Senate with just 51 votes. The Senate is divided 50-50 along the party line. Vice President Kamala Harris has the ability to intervene and act on an equal footing.

That means Democrats cannot afford to lose the support of even a single member of their party. And some moderate parliamentarians have made it clear that raising the $ 15 minimum wage does not support them.

Following the calendar: Pelosi said he expects the Covid aid package to be on Biden’s desk until March 14, when the current unemployment benefits expire. The clock is ticking.

It follows

Tuesday: US consumer confidence; HSBC (HBCYF), Deposit (HD), Macy’s (M) and Square (ff) earnings; Apple (AAPL) shareholders’ meeting
Wednesday: New home sales in the US; Lowe’s (LOW), Office deposit (ODP), TJX (TJX), Holdings Reservations, L marks (pounds), Nvidia (NVDA) and ViacomCBS (MORE) earnings
Thursday: Initial unemployment claims in the US; Anheuser-Busch InBev (BUD), Pizza Domino (DMPZF), The best purchase (BBY), Cars.com (MACHINES), JM Smucker (SJM), Modern (MRNA), Papa John (PZZA), Beyond meat (BYND), Etsy (ETSY), Live Nation (LYV), Nikola, Virgin Galactic (SPCE) and Sales force (mRCC) earnings

Friday: India’s GDP; US personal income and expense data; DraftKings earnings

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