Credit: Jacob Norlund via Flickr
The chances of a winter storm affecting Minnesota later this week are rising, according to the National Weather Service (NWS).
What remains unclear is how much snow will be able to unpack the storm system and where the worst conditions will be, but NWS recommends Minnesota people who have travel plans Thursday or Friday consider the forecast because of the weather potential. dangerous.
“The night from Wednesday to Friday has become more and more interesting, because it seems that we will receive accumulated rainfall. In the forecast there are still more questions regarding the timing, type and amount of precipitation,” explains the discussion about the forecast from the office NWS Twin Cities.
Credit: NWS Twin Cities
At this time, the NWS suggests that precipitation could begin on Thursday morning in the form of rain, a mixture of winter or icy rain, and then change into snow on Thursday afternoon.
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“This situation will be closely monitored, as frozen rain is very dangerous and would occur while traveling in the morning,” the forecast discussion said.
You can see this scenario by playing in the latest simulation of the European computer model. In the GIF below, different shades of purple indicate a frozen mixture or precipitation, while blue indicates all the snow.
It is also worth noting that the European model is just one of many that NWS uses to create its forecast, and other models, including the American and NAM models, are not aggressive, as the European model is in the making. part of the storm and precipitation. in the heart of Minnesota.
If the storm brings effects as the European model suggests, it could be a strong winter storm.
“I’m worried that near blizzard conditions may develop in western Minnesota if this storm system intensifies as expected on Thursday and Friday,” says Novak Weather. “I wouldn’t be surprised if significant snow falls on much of the Upper Midwest, including the Twin Cities.”
Again, the amount of snow that will be associated with this storm system remains unclear, but the NWS Duluth office believes the largest amounts could be in northern Minnesota.
“The heaviest snow is expected Thursday night and early Friday, with the highest amounts of snow expected in the far north of Minnesota. Snow will end from west to east later Friday through Friday evening, with Lake Effect snow persisting until Saturday, “Duluth told NWS Tuesday morning.
Novak weather will provide a fresh update on Tuesday afternoon. Keep tabs on our Weather MN blog for updates.