Most of life on Earth will be DELETED in a billion years due to an extreme sinking of oxygen levels, scientists warn
- Researchers in Japan and the United States have shaped the future of the Earth’s atmosphere
- Increasing sunlight will have an impact on surface temperature and photosynthesis
- This will cause rapid atmospheric deoxygenation in about a billion years
- The discovery has implications for how we look for habitable planets elsewhere
An extreme sinking of atmospheric oxygen levels will destroy more than a billion years of most life on Earth, a study predicted.
Researchers in Japan and the United States have modeled how our planet’s atmosphere will change in light of various biological, climatic, and geological processes.
Deoxygenation will result from the increasing flow of energy from the Sun as it illuminates, increasing surface temperatures and reducing photosynthesis.
They found that deoxygenation in about a billion years would bring the atmosphere back to an inhospitable, methane-rich composition – one reminiscent of early Earth.
This fate, they added, will take place before the arrival of so-called wet greenhouse conditions in which water will flow irreversibly from the planet’s atmosphere.
The findings suggest that atmospheric oxygen is not a permanent device of habitable planets, which has implications for our search for life in other worlds.

An extreme sinking of atmospheric oxygen levels will destroy more than a billion years of most life on Earth, a study predicted. In the picture: the decrease in oxygen predicted by the team
Before 2.4 billion years ago, the Earth’s atmosphere was rich in methane, ammonia, water vapor and neon with noble gas, but it had no free oxygen.
This was introduced in an episode that geologists call the Great Oxygenation Event, during which cyanobacteria living in the oceans began to produce significant amounts of oxygen through photosynthesis, thus radically changing the atmosphere.
This flow of oxygen is believed to have paved the way for sustained multicellular life on a large scale, although this came at a cost – the death of many anaerobic bacteria, in what is believed to have been the first mass extinction of the Earth.
The new findings suggest that in the future of the Earth, the atmosphere could turn upside down and possibly return to the world anaerobic microorganisms.
“We find that future deoxygenation is an inevitable consequence of increased solar fluxes,” the research duo wrote in their paper.
“Its precise moment is modulated by the flow of reducing power exchange between the mantle and the ocean-atmosphere-crust system.”
“Our results suggest that the planetary carbonate-silicate cycle will tend to lead to terminally limited CO2 biospheres and rapid atmospheric deoxygenation.”
Atmosphere oxygenation is commonly seen as indicative of the Earth’s current biosphere, plants, and photosynthetic activity. Therefore, logic goes, we should look for similar oxygenated worlds in our hunt for extraterrestrial life.
However, the findings suggest that – from the point of view of a hypothetical distant alien observer – the detection of atmospheric oxygen on Earth could be possible only about two to three tenths of the life of our planet.
If this is true for other planets, the researchers say, we may need to adjust our search for life elsewhere in the universe to look for additional biosignatures, those that indicate the existence of life outside the oxygen-rich period of a planet.
The full results of the study were published in the journal Nature Geoscience.