In the most important week 15 of the fantasy football season, some managers were happy as they advanced to their league championships, while some were left with crushing defeats and now have to reset and figure out what went well. stupid, because the season has started now. The difference between these managers? He noted the importance of more matches compared to the weak ones. Some of these matches were easy to spot, such as Jalen Hurts, JD McKissic and Corey Davis. All were considered capable beginners for the week and came during the duration for managers who pressed the trigger when they started. But then you have those hard-to-play names that are left out of the ordinary and that were albatrosses in week 15 (Russell Wilson, Miles Sanders, DK Metcalf), leaving managers out of the title games. Talk about how difficult this fantasy game can sometimes be. We all tend to look at the big names and not debate once about their elimination from the bands. When, in fact, the review in production and matches should be very much in mind at this crucial time.
That should be taken into account by the managers there, still alive in the pursuit of the championship for week 16. Throw everything you know, sit down and watch the matches heading to this week’s games. The defenses of the last four to five games in terms of what they allow are sometimes not the same in the spectrum of their numbers from year to day. Look at teams like the Seahawks and the Falcons. Both were extremely poor units in the early stages of the season. So bad that those numbers tend to be seen as still unsatisfactory defenses for fantasy managers. While in recent games, these numbers tell a completely different story, making them teams to avoid from the perspective of the match. With all the things on the line for managers in a championship setting, it is essential to use a wider field to determine your starting range. Cases can and will be made to secure the typical pin in favor of a smaller name. Using the mentality “He carried me here, I might as well stay with him” can only lead to disappointment and leave the 2020 season empty-handed.
With all these moving parts, fantasy managers need to have more confidence in matching decisions than ever before. This is what we do here for you with Woos and Boos for week 16. We rob players who are usually under the radar, but who could shine with plus matchs. While it’s Boo those who start weekly, who might be prepared to disappoint because they are facing difficult situations. With these games that fall on the Christmas holidays, I wanted to put a little holiday spirit in that as well. Let’s take a look at the players on my “Naughty or Cute” list for these Week 16 matches.
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Week 16 Woos (Nice)
Baker Mayfield @ New York Jets
Don’t look now, but Mayfield has caught fire in the last three games with a QB1 finished in each contest. Given the playoffs as a possibility for the Browns, the offensive has found its way. Mayfield in the season in the top-5 in Total QBR (76.8), 10th in test yards (7.6) and 11th in completed yards (1,990). This trend should continue to improve in week 16 against a secondary Jets, which is one of the worst in the DVOA Pass (25.0%) of the season. And in the last four games, they have given up 22.39 FPPG for opposing QBs. Things are going great for Mayfield in this match and should be seen as a low-end QB1 that you could start if you are at a peak.
Leonard Fournette @ Detroit Lions
Now that Ronald Jones has been ruled out again, things could not look better for Fournette in a crucial game for fantasy managers. Seeing the full workload in week 15, Fournette repaid the managers with an RB1 finish with its two-touchdown performance against a tough Falcons defense. During the season, sharing time with Jones, he was somewhat disappointed because the numbers were inconsistent. Until last week, he had only three scores in the season and still has only 320 rushing yards and 187 receiving yards. He should greatly improve those numbers in Week 16 against a Lions defense that gives up 137.3 per game on the ground and is one of the worst in the league in Run DVOA (1.1%). If you held him for so long as a manager, congratulations, because he should be easily in your formations during the championship week.
Michael Gallup Vs. Philadelphia Eagles
Call it my long war of the week, because Gallup could be a stormy start to this game against the Eagles. Although the targets and yards were inconsistent all season, he found the final zone in two of his last three games. His efficiency in the season was horrible, as he is second in the league on running routes (542), but ranks 33rd in goals (90) and 40th in receptions (49). But why the good feeling at the match? In the game of Week 8, he brought seven receptions on 12 targets, so he was used. Also, in the last four games, the Eagles secondary has been one of the worst in the league in points allowed per position (45.80 FPPG). With Darius Slay stuck in the match with Amari Cooper, Gallup will mostly see a single cover and maybe a red zone target or two. He could be seen as a WR3 in Week 16 and could be played at the starting line on players with tougher matches.
Tyler Higbee @ Seattle Seahawks
It’s the end of the season, so it must be Tyler Higbee’s production time, right? He found the final zone in two in his last three games and ensured TE1 production during this period. And while Jared Goff has seen him play up and down, he seems to be relying on Higbee in difficult places. Facing the Seahawks defense in week 16 will be difficult for outside receivers, but in terms of tight end position, they have been one of the worst in the last four games, giving up 17.08 FPPG. If you are in need of a streamer this week, Higbee could be your type of lock as a boot option.
Week 16 Boos
Russell Wilson Vs. Los Angeles Rams
How the strong fell could be the term used for Russell Wilson in the second half of the fantastic season. As of week 10, he has only two QB1 finishes, as managers have continued to keep him close to the starting lineups based on the talent around him. But now, with championships on the line, it might be time to make the tough decision to replace Wilson. Given his game in recent weeks, facing the Rams defense should be sufficient proof. But this defense was one of the best in the league and in the last four games, they allowed only 11.08 FPPG to QB with a DVOA Pass -10.0%. It’s hard to say, but there are plenty of other options to pivot this week to get it from Wilson, as he will be seriously disappointed in this game.
Josh Jacobs Vs. Miami Dolphins
After a very solid game in Week 15 (RB11), many managers will look at Jacobs in an extremely positive light, heading into Week 16. He ranks among the top in the league in all pivot categories. He is third in ports (245), sixth in yards (906) and fifth in score (10 total TD). But this week, he faces a very tough test in a tough defense, which was the best in the league in the last four games (14.30 FPPG). Now I’m not arguing that Jacobs will be overtaken this week, but with temperate expectations, he should be seen as a higher value of RB2, as opposed to an uninteresting RB1.
Brandin Cooks Vs. Cincinnati Bengals
After being a strong starting option for much of the 2020 season, Cooks has dropped tremendously since the suspension of Will Fuller. Receptions and courts have been consistent, but he has failed to finish more than WR28 in the last five games. In a vacuum, if you look at the Bengals Defense, this match seems to be an attack, because it ranks at the bottom in points allowed with 35.7 FPPG. But in the last four games, that number has dropped to 24.35 FPPG, ranking third in the league. Along with the cover game with William Jackson, Cooks is a receiver who should be seen as a difficult start to Week 16.
Evan Engram Vs. Baltimore Ravens
With the quarterback carousel that took place with the Giants, Engram made an act of disappearance at the worst moment for fantasy managers. He has only 10 receptions in the last three games and has not scored a TD since Week 9. Although he still ranks very well in targets (95) and receptions (54) which may further contribute to the lack of quality of position value as a whole. Now heading into Week 16, he faces another tough test against a Ravens defense that allows only 11.00 FPPG to TE in the last four games. Also, no TE found the final area during that Engram stretch as a long distance to do the same. With other options available in the flow for the week, Engram could be safely placed on the bench.
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