Maybe not.
If it maintains its growth rate in the first week, Tesla shares would be in line with all of last year’s gains until mid-March. Not that anyone predicts another 700% increase in shares this year. Or even a tenth of that.
In fact, even some of the most bullish analysts only predict that Tesla shares will reach $ 1,000 by the end of the year, an increase of about 14% for the rest of 2021 since the record close on Friday.
Several analysts with relatively positive prospects for the company have 12-month price targets well below the $ 880 close on Friday. The current average target price for analysts is $ 440, which would be a 50% decrease in shares.
Of the 35 analysts following the stock, 13 have a “strong buy” or “buy” recommendation, and another 11 have a neutral or hold recommendation. Of the rest, seven have a sales recommendation, and only four have a “strong sale”.
Adam Jonas, of Morgan Stanley, is one of the rising analysts with a low price target. Considered one of the best car analysts on Wall Street, Jonas updated his recommendation on Tesla to “overweight” at the end of November, but hurried to raise his price target before the market price.
On November 18, when it updated the shares, it set a target price of $ 540, which was a 22% increase over the current location of the shares. Last Wednesday he pushed it up to $ 810, only to see Tesla shares quickly surpass that mark.
Rather, it bets on Tesla’s ability to continue to grow rapidly and capture much of its growing appetite for electric vehicles or electric vehicles. There are forecasts that, within 10-20 years, Tesla could become the world’s largest carmaker, not just for electric cars, but for any kind of car.
Dan Ives, a technical analyst at Wedbush Securities, has a base price target of $ 715 for Tesla shares and a target for the $ 1,000 bull case. His buying recommendation for Tesla is based on his belief that Tesla will continue its strong race.
“I think it could hit a million vehicles [delivered annually] by 2022. And looking north at 3 to 4 million as we enter 2025-26, with 40 percent of that growth coming from China, “he said.” We believe that if you look in the next 10-15 years, you could start looking at 10-12 million vehicles a year, “he said. Volkswagen, the current world leader, sold 11 million cars in 2019.
That’s just an assumption, of course. But what is indisputable is that Tesla’s action has proven that analysts have consistently made mistakes during the period that began 15 months ago.
It was a growth that analysts have never seen. Their average target price in October 2019 was only about $ 50 at the time, adjusted for division. The target price for 12 months a year ago was 62 USD.
From here, Ives points to some of the most successful technology stocks in the world and says that Tesla is now at the same point that companies did at turning points in their history.